Projected standings
Back to the board →Each team’s projected 2026-27 record — the model’s own read on the current roster, calibrated to real net ratings and ranked within its conference. Three things set it: rotation talent, perimeter defense, and a bounded penalty for a structural hole (no rim protection to go with no spacing, too many players who need the ball). With no moves staged, this is the current roster — real injuries (a torn ACL cuts a star’s minutes), the position-aware rotation, and aging all baked in. Make trades and signings and it updates live. A current-roster projection, not a full-season forecast (no coaching or playoff translation).
Celtics53-29+6.0—2
Raptors50-32+4.5—3
Pistons49-33+4.2—4
Knicks49-33+4.1—5
Cavaliers49-33+3.9—6
76ers48-34+3.7—7
Heat47-35+2.9—8
Hawks42-40+0.6—9
Magic41-41+0.1—10
Hornets38-44-1.7—11
Bucks34-48-3.6—12
Pacers33-49-4.0—13
Bulls31-51-5.2—14
Wizards31-51-5.2—15
Nets29-53-6.1—
Thunder68-14+13.8—2
Lakers52-30+5.4—3
Spurs51-31+4.8—4
Rockets48-34+3.4—5
Timberwolves46-36+2.4—6
Warriors45-37+1.7—7
Nuggets44-38+1.5—8
Suns41-41-0.1—9
Trail Blazers38-44-1.3—10
Mavericks33-49-3.9—11
Pelicans32-50-4.4—12
Jazz32-50-4.7—13
Grizzlies31-51-5.2—14
Clippers27-55-7.1—15
Kings18-64-11.7—The line after #6 marks the play-in cut (top 6 clinch, 7–10 play in). Records come from projected net rating mapped to wins and calibrated to actual 2025-26 net ratings. Wins are zero-sum: the league always totals exactly 1,230, so improving your team pulls wins from everyone else’s column.