Over the Apron
LAL

Los Angeles Lakers

Over cap$200,305,773 committed + $3.6M FA holds
What the Los Angeles Lakers can do this offseason
  • Outside free agents can only be added on minimum deals — its cap room and exceptions are already spent or dead for the year.
  • Operated under the cap this July (used its Room MLE), so the non-taxpayer MLE and bi-annual exception are dead for the season (Art. VII §6(n)).
  • Hard-capped at the first apron — triggered by the Walker Kessler sign-and-trade, so it can't cross that line the rest of the season.
  • Draft capital: 2 extra incoming picks, owes 12.
CapTax1A2A
Minimum$3.9M
Projected record
52-30
Projected net rating
+5.6
Current baseline
52 wins · +5.6 net
Full standings · models the position-aware rotation, a real-age aging curve, perimeter defense, and a bounded penalty for a structural hole; a talent-on-hand projection, not a full-season forecast (no coaching or playoff translation).
Team profile · on-court identity + fit
Offense
B
58
Defense
B
61
Spacing
B+
65
Playmaking
D
32
Rim protection
A-
73
Perimeter D
B+
64
Rebounding
B-
53
Spacing +2.3Defensive core +2.2Two-way balance +1.2Defense +1.1Connectors +1.1Thin playmaking -1.1

Grades are minutes-weighted from the projected rotation; the chips are the fit read — how much each strength or gap is worth in net rating, on top of raw talent. Dimensions come from each player’s real 2025-26 box profile. Injuries are real reported facts, factored into projected minutes.

Projected rotation · minutes by position, best players first
PGPoint
91Luka DončićST27y36m
59Austin Reaves28y10m
57Matisse Thybulle29y2m
SGShooting
59Austin ReavesST28y24m
52Collin Sexton28y14m
57Matisse Thybulle29y10m
SFSmall F
48Jake LaRaviaST25y19m
48Quentin Grimes26y15m
52Collin Sexton28y10m
57Matisse Thybulle29y4m
PFPower F
60Sandro MamukelashviliST27y4m
54Walker Kessler25y1m
48Jake LaRavia25y6m
48Jarred Vanderbilt27y17m
50Kevon Looney30y15m
47Adou Thiero22y6m
CCenter
54Walker KesslerST25y30m
60Sandro Mamukelashvili27y18m
Out of rotation · no projected minutes in the 240-a-night budget
45Dalton Knecht44Ziaire Williams44Cameron Carr42Bronny James39Jaden Hardy

Projected minutes from the position-aware rotation model: five on-court spots share a fixed 240-minute-a-night budget, best players first, with versatile players (their secondary spot shown on hover) sliding to a second position. ST = projected starter. Not a coach’s actual rotation.

Roster (16)
91PGLuka Dončić$49.8M
59SGAustin ReavesNO-TRADE$41.2M
54CWalker KesslerNO-TRADE$30.1M
48SGQuentin GrimesNO-TRADE$14.0M
48PFJarred Vanderbilt$12.4M
60CSandro MamukelashviliNO-TRADE$12.1M
52SGCollin SextonNO-TRADE$9.4M
39SGJaden Hardy$6.0M
48SFJake LaRavia$6.0M
45SFDalton Knecht$4.2M
44SGCameron CarrNO-TRADE$3.3M
44SFZiaire WilliamsNO-TRADE$2.4M
57SGMatisse ThybulleNO-TRADE$2.4M
50CKevon LooneyNO-TRADE$2.4M
42PGBronny James$2.3M
47PFAdou Thiero$2.2M
Draft capital
Own first-rounders
’27 prot 1-4’28 swap w/ UTA’29 → DAL’30 swap w/ UTA’31 → UTA’32 kept’33 → UTA
Incoming picks & swap rights
’31 2nd · from WAS’32 2nd · from WAS
Full ledger — 2 in, 12 out
in 2031second round draft pick from Washington
in 2032second round draft pick from Washington
out 2027first round draft pick to Memphis
out 2027second round draft pick to Brooklyn
out 2028first round draft pick to Utah (swap, more favorable of Utah and Cleveland incoming)
out 2028second round draft pick to Orlando or Washington
out 2029first round draft pick to Dallas
out 2029second round draft pick to Washington
out 2030first round draft pick to Utah (swap, Utah incoming)
out 2030second round draft pick to Brooklyn
out 2031first round draft pick to Utah
out 2031second round draft pick to Brooklyn
out 2032second round draft pick to Atlanta or Oklahoma City
out 2033first round draft pick to Utah
Over the Apron — NBA Offseason, Simplified