What the Miami Heat can do this offseason
- ›Can add an outside free agent up to $8.5M via the Non-Tax MLE.
- ›Hard-capped at the first apron — triggered by the Tim Hardaway Jr. NT-MLE, so it can't cross that line the rest of the season.
- ›Below the first apron: full expanded salary-matching is available.
- ›Draft capital: 0 extra incoming picks, owes 11.
CapTax1A2A
Non-Tax MLE$8.5MBi-Annual$5.5MMinimum$3.9M
Projected record
47-35
Projected net rating
+3.0
Current baseline
47 wins · +3.0 net
Full standings · models the position-aware rotation, a real-age aging curve, perimeter defense, and a bounded penalty for a structural hole; a talent-on-hand projection, not a full-season forecast (no coaching or playoff translation).
Team profile · on-court identity + fit
Offense
B-
55
Defense
B-
56
Spacing
B+
65
Playmaking
D+
33
Rim protection
C-
38
Perimeter D
B
60
Rebounding
C+
50
Spacing +2.3Defensive core +2.2Defense +0.6Balanced +0.5Connectors +0.3Thin playmaking -1
Grades are minutes-weighted from the projected rotation; the chips are the fit read — how much each strength or gap is worth in net rating, on top of raw talent. Dimensions come from each player’s real 2025-26 box profile. Injuries are real reported facts, factored into projected minutes.
Projected rotation · minutes by position, best players first
PGPoint
48Davion MitchellST28y29m
48Pelle Larsson25y3m
44Tim Hardaway Jr.34y16m
SGShooting
48Pelle LarssonST25y23m
56Dru Smith29y16m
50Simone Fontecchio31y8m
SFSmall F
53Andrew WigginsST31y30m
52Myron Gardner25y9m
50Simone Fontecchio31y9m
PFPower F
99Giannis AntetokounmpoST32y29m
51Bobby Portis31y19m
CCenter
72Bam AdebayoST29y32m
47Nikola Jović23y11m
51Bobby Portis31y5m
Out of rotation · no projected minutes in the 240-a-night budget
41Ryan Conwell
Projected minutes from the position-aware rotation model: five on-court spots share a fixed 240-minute-a-night budget, best players first, with versatile players (their secondary spot shown on hover) sliding to a second position. ST = projected starter. Not a coach’s actual rotation.
Roster (12)
99PFGiannis Antetokounmpo$58.5M
72CBam Adebayo$49.8M
53SFAndrew Wiggins$30.2M
47PFNikola Jović$16.2M
51PFBobby Portis$14.5M
48PGDavion Mitchell$12.4M
44SGTim Hardaway Jr.NO-TRADE$6.1M
56SGDru Smith$2.6M
50SFSimone FontecchioNO-TRADE$2.4M
48SGPelle Larsson$2.3M
52SFMyron Gardner$2.2M
41SGRyan ConwellNO-TRADE$1.4M
Draft capital
Own first-rounders
’27 prot 1-14’28 kept’29 kept’30 swap w/ MIL’31 → MIL’32 kept’33 → MIL
Incoming picks & swap rights
None
Full ledger — 0 in, 11 out
out 2027 — first round draft pick to Charlotte
out 2027 — second round draft pick to Philadelphia, New Orleans, New York or San Antonio (least favorable of Miami, Oklahoma City, San Antonio, Houston and Indiana incoming, effectively a swap)
out 2028 — second round draft pick to Detroit
out 2029 — second round draft pick to Charlotte or Oklahoma City
out 2030 — first round draft pick to Milwaukee (least favorable of Milwaukee, Portland and Miami incoming, swap)
out 2030 — second round draft pick to Memphis or Oklahoma City
out 2031 — first round draft pick to Milwaukee
out 2031 — second round draft pick to Washington, Memphis or Indiana
out 2032 — second round draft pick to Brooklyn
out 2033 — first round draft pick to Milwaukee
out 2033 — second round draft pick to Milwaukee