Over the Apron
IND

Indiana Pacers

Luxury tax$202,622,518 committed + $16.1M FA holds
What the Indiana Pacers can do this offseason
  • Can add an outside free agent up to $6.4M via the Non-Tax MLE.
  • Hard-capped at the first apron — triggered by the Kelly Oubre Jr. NT-MLE (partial), so it can't cross that line the rest of the season.
  • Below the first apron: full expanded salary-matching is available.
  • Draft capital: 3 extra incoming picks, owes 4.
CapTax1A2A
Non-Tax MLE$6.4MBi-Annual$5.5MMinimum$3.9M
Projected record
31-51
Projected net rating
-5.1
Current baseline
31 wins · -5.1 net
Full standings · models the position-aware rotation, a real-age aging curve, perimeter defense, and a bounded penalty for a structural hole; a talent-on-hand projection, not a full-season forecast (no coaching or playoff translation).
Team profile · on-court identity + fit
Offense
B-
53
Defense
C+
48
Spacing
B-
54
Playmaking
D+
36
Rim protection
A+
84
Perimeter D
B-
52
Rebounding
C+
48
Defensive core +1.7Spacing +1.2Defense +0.6Connectors +0.3Thin playmaking -0.7
InjuredTyrese Haliburton Torn Achilles (~46g) · Johnny Furphy Torn ACL (~38g)

Grades are minutes-weighted from the projected rotation; the chips are the fit read — how much each strength or gap is worth in net rating, on top of raw talent. Dimensions come from each player’s real 2025-26 box profile. Injuries are real reported facts, factored into projected minutes.

Projected rotation · minutes by position, best players first
PGPoint
47Andrew NembhardST27y16m
54T.J. McConnell34y17m
73Tyrese HaliburtonINJ26y34m
SGShooting
44Kelly Oubre Jr.ST31y23m
47Andrew Nembhard27y15m
46Aaron Nesmith27y10m
SFSmall F
46Aaron NesmithST27y20m
51Jalen Slawson27y22m
55Obi Toppin28y6m
PFPower F
58Pascal SiakamST32y33m
55Obi Toppin28y12m
56Jay Huff28y3m
CCenter
59Ivica ZubacST29y30m
56Jay Huff28y18m
Out of rotation · no projected minutes in the 240-a-night budget
44Kobe Brown44Jarace Walker44Johnny FurphyTorn ACL43Ben Sheppard

Projected minutes from the position-aware rotation model: five on-court spots share a fixed 240-minute-a-night budget, best players first, with versatile players (their secondary spot shown on hover) sliding to a second position. ST = projected starter. Not a coach’s actual rotation.

Roster (14)
73PGTyrese Haliburton$48.9M
58PFPascal Siakam$48.9M
59CIvica Zubac$20.3M
47PGAndrew Nembhard$19.6M
55PFObi Toppin$15.0M
46SFAaron Nesmith$11.0M
54PGT.J. McConnell$11.0M
44PFJarace Walker$8.5M
44SFKelly Oubre Jr.NO-TRADE$8.0M
43SGBen Sheppard$5.0M
56CJay Huff$2.7M
44SGJohnny Furphy$2.3M
44PFKobe BrownNO-TRADE$0.7M
51PFJalen SlawsonNO-TRADE$0.7M
Draft capital
Own first-rounders
’27 kept’28 kept’29 → LAC’30 kept’31 kept’32 kept
Incoming picks & swap rights
’27 2nd · from UTA’28 2nd · swap less’29 2nd · swap more
Full ledger — 3 in, 4 out
in 2027second round draft pick from Utah
in 2028second round draft pick from Phoenix or Chicago (Indiana outgoing to Chicago or New York)
in 2029second round draft pick from Washington (effectively a swap, Indiana outgoing to Portland)
out 2027second round draft pick to Philadelphia, New Orleans, New York, San Antonio or Miami
out 2029first round draft pick to L.A. Clippers
out 2030second round draft pick to Chicago (swap, Chicago incoming)
out 2031second round draft pick to Washington or Memphis (least favorable of Memphis, Miami and Indiana incoming, swap)
Over the Apron — NBA Offseason, Simplified